Recently, multiple East African countries have been hit by sustained heavy rainfall, with major coffee-producing areas in central Kenya such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu suffering severe damage. Floods, mudslides, and other disasters have caused significant casualties and property losses, and as coffee is currently in its flowering and fruiting stage, the next harvest season is expected to be severely affected. Meanwhile, Kenyan coffee auction prices have already hit record highs, and prices may climb further in the future. The Kenyan government has allocated 4 billion shillings for disaster relief. The Chinese Embassy in Kenya has also issued a reminder, calling for attention to weather changes and flood prevention and disease control. Stay tuned to the disaster situation in coffee-producing areas; Front Street Coffee will continue to follow up with reports. [more…]

Recently, northern Sumatra in Indonesia has experienced continuous heavy rainfall, triggering secondary disasters such as flash floods and landslides in multiple areas of North Sumatra Province, resulting in 20 deaths and multiple injuries so far. This disaster has not only caused severe damage to local infrastructure including houses, schools, and roads, but has also directly affected the Arabica coffee-growing belt in the Lintong region of central Sumatra—the area where the world-renowned Mandheling coffee is produced. Meanwhile, Deli Serdang Regency, an important commodity transport corridor leading to the Medan seaport, has also been damaged by landslides, disrupting import and export operations. As the Arabica harvest season is currently underway, days of heavy rain may cause ripe cherries to drop and yields to decline, with the market generally holding a cautious attitude toward the supply outlook for the new harvest season. [more…]

Since Indonesia entered the rainy season, heavy rainfall has triggered floods, landslides and other natural disasters in many places, causing casualties and damage to public facilities. This coincides with the coffee harvest season, and the affected areas are close to major coffee-producing regions, so whether plantations have been damaged remains to be confirmed. At the same time, Indonesia's coffee production for 2024/25 is expected to be revised downward, exports are forecast to decline, and combined with a weaker Indonesian rupiah exchange rate and rising fertilizer prices, robusta coffee prices may rise again in the future. This article will review the disaster impact, production data and market trends for coffee lovers' reference. [more…]

Indonesia has recently been hit by prolonged severe weather, with landslides and floods triggered by heavy rainfall having caused dozens of casualties, and multiple provinces entering a disaster alert status. This natural disaster not only threatens the safety of local residents but also affects the country's coffee industry—major growing regions such as Sumatra, Sulawesi, and Papua are coinciding with the harvest season, and torrential rain will hinder harvest progress and cause cherries to drop, with output expected to decline. Combined with factors such as the depreciation of the Indonesian rupiah and reduced coffee production in Vietnam, international robusta prices are expected to remain high in the short term. [more…]

Recently, many parts of Asia have been hit by extreme weather, with Indonesia bearing the brunt. Torrential rain, floods, volcanic eruptions, and landslides have struck one after another, dealing a heavy blow to multiple industries in the country, and the coffee industry has been unable to escape unscathed. After West Java and Sumatra were successively affected, South Sulawesi Province was also hit by heavy rainfall, with severe losses in regencies such as Luwu, Soppeng, and Sidrap, where roads and bridges were destroyed and farmland was flooded. This disaster mainly struck the country's Robusta coffee-producing areas, and as it coincides with the harvest season, industry insiders expect output on some islands to decline by 20%, while the country's total production may be halved. A tightening of Robusta supply could further push up international coffee prices. [more…]

Indonesia is a major global coffee producer, with coffee cultivation mainly distributed across islands such as Sumatra, Java, Sulawesi, and Bali. However, the country has recently experienced persistent severe weather, and floods and landslides triggered by heavy rain have dealt a serious blow to multiple coffee-producing regions. The Bandung area on Java Island, the island's largest coffee-producing region, has already seen casualties and extensive housing damage; nine regions in western Sumatra have been especially hard hit, and with Robusta coffee at the pre-fruiting and early harvesting stage, losses have been severe. According to estimates by local producers, output on some islands will fall by 20%, and the country's total production may be halved. At the same time, the Indonesian government has designated coffee as a national priority industry and significantly increased fertilizer subsidies in an attempt to ease the impact of the disaster on agriculture. This article will review the specific effects of the disaster on Indonesia's coffee industry and related policy trends. [more…]

A severe landslide occurred in the Gofa Zone of southern Ethiopia on the evening of July 21 local time. As of now, 229 deaths have been confirmed, and the casualty toll is feared to rise further. The disaster was triggered by persistent heavy rainfall, and a secondary landslide buried rescue workers. Of particular concern to coffee lovers is that the affected area covers important coffee-producing regions such as Kaffa, Jimma, and Yirgacheffe, where torrential rain and geological disasters are directly threatening the coffee-growing environment and infrastructure. At the same time, the conflict in the north and the impact of the Red Sea crisis on the port of Djibouti have plunged Ethiopia's coffee industry into multiple difficulties. Front Street Coffee will continue to follow the developments and their potential impact on the coffee supply chain. [more…]

Although El Niño is expected to wrap up in April, its impact on global coffee-producing regions is far from over. Several countries in East Africa are being battered by both torrential rains and floods, with Kenya suffering especially devastating losses—at least 289 people have died and more than 280,000 have been forced to flee their homes. Worryingly, the hardest-hit areas happen to cover Kenya's main coffee-producing regions such as Nyeri, Nakuru, and Kiambu. With the critical flowering and fruiting stage now underway, this natural disaster has all but sealed the fate of a reduced harvest next season. Faced with the prospect of total crop failure, the Kenyan government has urgently allocated 4 billion shillings, while the International Finance Corporation, together with Absa Group, has injected US$60 million into coffee trading giant Volcafe in an effort to stabilize the East African coffee supply chain. Front Street Coffee will also continue to follow developments in the producing regions and bring coffee lovers the latest news. [more…]

Recently, multiple East African countries have been hit by prolonged heavy rainfall and flooding, affecting major coffee-producing nations such as Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania. Floods have destroyed farmland, roads, and homes, and coffee trees in their growing period face serious threats. Among them, the damage in Ethiopia's well-known Sidama region and Kenya's central producing areas is particularly concerning. At the same time, the Ethiopian government has announced the launch of its first special economic zone and signed an agreement with a Chinese company to cooperate on building the Lemi Free Trade Zone, focusing on areas such as coffee processing. This article will review the specific impact of this disaster on Africa's coffee industry and its subsequent trajectory. [more…]

Since October, Panama has entered its rainy season, but this year, under the influence of Tropical Storm Rafael, torrential rain and strong winds have been unusually severe, triggering multiple landslides and floods, with Chiriquí Province and other areas hit hard. Boquete, the core production area for Panama's specialty coffee, has not been spared either, with roads damaged, water supplies cut off, and coffee transportation blocked. Even more concerning is that the coffee harvest season is approaching in December, and continued heavy rain could damage coffee trees that are currently bearing fruit, further affecting quality and yield. This article will review the progress of the disaster and its potential impact on the coffee industry. [more…]

Colombia's coffee production and exports both achieved double-digit growth in the first 10 months of this year, and the FNC at one point forecast that full-year production could reach 13 million bags. However, the country has recently been hit by extreme weather in many places—heavy rain in the capital Bogotá and surrounding areas triggered floods and landslides, and a volcanic eruption occurred in Antioquia Department, prompting the government to declare a state of disaster. This comes during the coffee tree fruiting period, and excessive rainfall may cause cherries to drop and delay harvesting, thereby affecting output and supply. At the same time, the U.S. C-price coffee futures price has once again surged to 272.03 cents per pound, and market concerns about supply in the new crop season have clearly intensified. [more…]

Tanzania is located in the eastern part of Africa and has rich natural resources and a unique coffee culture. However, recently, the country of Tanzania has suffered from heavy rainfall and floods, causing casualties and large-scale damage. Local tim [more…]

Mexico's major western coffee-producing regions were recently hit by Tropical Storm Carlotta, with heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail posing a serious threat to coffee trees in their flowering stage. The states of Colima, Jalisco, Michoacán, and Nayarit produce about 15% of Mexico's coffee output, and roughly 80% of the country's coffee-growing area had already been affected by high temperatures and drought. Industry insiders expect yield losses could reach 50%. After the storm, neighboring states such as Oaxaca and Chiapas also face risks of flooding and landslides. Meanwhile, Mexico is striving to boost its coffee industry, with a production target of 3.89 million bags for the 2024/25 season, but a succession of extreme weather events has cast a shadow over this vision. [more…]

A recent coffee industry report released by Indonesia shows that after multiple natural disasters including El Niño-induced drought, floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions, the country's coffee production fell to 9.7 million bags in the 2023/24 season. However, after entering the harvest season, actual data came in better than expected, and production is expected to rebound to 10.9 million bags in the 2024/25 season, an increase of 12.3%. Of this, Robusta production stands at 9.5 million bags and Arabica at 1.4 million bags. Although export volume is projected to rise from 4.3 million bags to 6 million bags, issues such as the La Niña phenomenon, rising fertilizer prices, and farmers' insufficient technical skills still bring uncertainty to the industry's recovery. [more…]

The lingering effects of El Niño in 2023 have not yet subsided, and La Niña may make a comeback in the summer of 2024, leaving global coffee-producing regions caught in a double bind of extreme weather. Drought during Brazil's flowering period, water shortages on Vietnam's highlands, coexisting floods and droughts in Africa, and the threat of hurricanes in Central America—the production outlook for major growing regions is shrouded in uncertainty. At the same time, rising demand for Robusta in European and American markets, combined with reduced output in several producing countries, has already triggered sharp fluctuations in international coffee prices. This article will examine how climate is disrupting the coffee supply chain and analyze the key variables shaping price trends in the second half of the year. [more…]

Central Vietnam was hit by two consecutive tropical storms in September, causing casualties and severe damage to infrastructure. Although the main coffee-growing regions were not directly affected, heavy rainfall has clouded the harvest outlook. More critically, major export hubs such as Haiphong Port and Da Nang were paralyzed by the storms, leaving large numbers of shipping containers backed up and severely disrupting coffee exports. Combined with reduced output caused by drought earlier in the year and steadily climbing domestic spot prices, the supply difficulties facing Vietnam—the world's second-largest coffee producer—are driving up international robusta futures prices. Front Street Coffee continues to monitor developments in the producing regions. [more…]

Several states in southern Brazil have recently been hit by severe storms and heavy rain, with São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro states particularly hard hit, causing casualties and widespread power outages. This coincides with the flowering season for Brazilian coffee trees, and excessive rainfall and flooding could wash out farmland and knock coffee flowers off the trees, threatening production for the new season. At the same time, disrupted rainfall patterns in Minas Gerais are making the planting situation even more severe. The storms have also affected logistics and transportation, worsening ship delays at ports. The market is worried that a reduction in Brazilian coffee production will persist, and prices may remain high or even rise further. This article will review the impact of the disaster and the subsequent trajectory of the coffee industry. [more…]

In the early hours of July 30, a large-scale landslide was triggered by continuous heavy rainfall in the Wayanad region of Kerala in southwestern India. According to the latest figures, 358 people have died, with many more injured and missing. This region is not only a severely affected mountainous area but also one of India's important coffee-producing regions, primarily growing Robusta. The disaster and subsequent heavy rainfall are likely to have a severe impact on India's coffee production in the new season. Meanwhile, India's coffee export data for the first half of 2024 has performed strongly, and international coffee prices are expected to remain high until the end of the year. This article will review the progress of the disaster, the difficulties in rescue efforts, and its potential impact on India's coffee industry. [more…]

Central Vietnam experienced strong winds and heavy rain after Typhoon Trami made landfall, damaging dikes, houses, farmland, and transportation and logistics infrastructure—just as the new coffee harvest season was getting underway. Looking back over the year, Vietnam's coffee industry first endured its worst drought in nearly a decade, then was hit by two typhoons in succession, Typhoon Yagi and Typhoon Trami, with the main producing areas in the Central Highlands also experiencing strong winds and heavy rain. Delayed harvesting, blocked roads, and closed ports combined to make new-crop supply even tighter; yet despite lower export volumes, export value hit a record high on rising prices. This article reviews the disaster impact, production and export data, and looks at price trends going forward. [more…]

A recent Indonesian coffee industry report released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture shows that Indonesia's coffee production in 2024/25 is expected to recover to 10.9 million bags, of which Robusta is projected to reach 9.5 million bags. However, the reality is not so optimistic: since the beginning of this year, Indonesia has frequently suffered natural disasters such as floods, landslides, and volcanic eruptions, and Sumatra's Robusta exports in May plunged 54% year-on-year. With the aftermath of El Niño still lingering and the threat of La Niña approaching, coupled with rising domestic consumption and exporters holding back sales, the supply outlook for Indonesian Robusta is full of uncertainties. This article will review production, exports, climate, and market dynamics, and include relevant recommendations from Front Street Coffee. [more…]